文明周期与气候变迁 Civilization Cycle and Climate Change

文明周期与气候变化显然有关， 但也并非决定性的宿命关系--气候灾难可能导致文明的衰落， 也可能导致文明的兴起。而且往往同一个气候灾难就导致某些势力的兴起和某些势力的陨落， 例如明清之际的社会交替就是如此。Synopsis: The cycle of civilization is obviously related to climate change but it is not a decisive fatalistic relationship-climate catastrophe may lead to the decline of civilization and it may also lead to the rise of civilization. And often the same climate disaster led to the rise of certain forces and the fall of certain forces such as the social alternation between the Ming and Qing Dynasties.