Forecasting potential distribution of Agrotis ipsilon

Agrotis ipsilon (Hufnagel) is a polyphagous pest species mainly damages the crops vegetables and ornamental plants. For the first time a concept has applied in the world and Pakistan allows for a deeper understanding of areas appropriate for the dispersal of A. ipsilon. To access the risk of biological damage data onto A. ipsilon and known distribution areas of Pakistan were collected through a literature review. Climatic data were collected from 'Climond.org'. An Ecological Niche Model 'CLIMEX model' was used to predict the potential distribution undercurrent as well as in future climatic conditions. Mapping correlations show good accords between simulated and present allocations of A. ipsilon indicates that the CLIMEX model has a successful potential to predict future dispersals of this species globally and in Pakistan. This spreading forecast will be useful in decision making and policy-making that when where and how to precautionary and control actions should be implemented against this pest A. ipsilon in crops as well as in vegetables and ornamental plants worldwide.