Interrupted Time Series Analysis

Describes ARIMA or Box Tiao models widely used in the analysis of interupted time series quasi-experiments assuming no statistical background beyond simple correlation. The principles and concepts of ARIMA time series analyses are developed and applied where a discrete intervention has impacted a social system. ...this is the kind of exposition I wished I had had some ten years ago when venturing into the world of autoregressive moving-average (ARIMA) models of time-series analysis...This monograph nicely lays out a method for assessing the impact of a discrete policy or event of some importance on behavior which can be continuously observed...If widely used as I hope it will save a generation of social scientists fro