Long-Range Forecast Possibilities for X-Band Radar Construction On Shemya

<p>The Missile Defense Agency (MDA) plans to construct during a two-week period an X-Band Radar (XBR) on Shemya AK. Wind speeds must not at any time during the construction exceed a 25 knot limit set by the MDA for lifting the massive dome panels into place. The goal of this research was to explore the possibilities of longrange forecasts to determine the feasibility of predicting any upcoming two-week windows of opportunity well in advance that will ensure the successful completion of constructing the XBR on Shemya. In order to reach this goal the following objectives were achieved; 1) a climatological wind study for Shemya to assess the optimal climatological window to build the XBR 2) a detailed synoptic study over the North Pacific to gain an understanding of how synoptic weather systems develop move and vary on an annual basis 3) a traditional statistical analysis of the data followed by a Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis for pattern recognition of global teleconnection indices and 4) develop forecasting decision trees to assist the 11th Operational Weather Squadron (OWS) Alaskan forecast hub in this daunting task.</p><p>This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore you will see the original copyright references library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world) and other notations in the work.</p><p>This work is in the public domain in the United States of America and possibly other nations. Within the United States you may freely copy and distribute this work as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.</p><p>As a reproduction of a historical artifact this work may contain missing or blurred pages poor pictures errant marks etc. Scholars believe and we concur that this work is important enough to be preserved reproduced and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.</p>