Japan's (UN)certain future? Permanent membership on the United Nations Security Council - A Delphi Study

Diploma Thesis from the year 2004 in the subject Politics - Topic: International Organisations grade: Distinction University of Vienna language: English abstract: 1. Introduction We the Japanese people [...] desire to occupy an honored place in an international society striving for the preservation of peace and the banishment of tyranny and slavery oppression and intolerance for all time from the earth. [...] We [...] pledge our national honor to accomplish these high ideals and purposes with all our resources. (cit. in Hook et al. 2001:466) This excerpt from the Preamble to Japan's Constitution that came into effect from 3. May 1947 clearly reflects Japan's desire to regain a respectable position within the international arena. Defeated in battle and under allied occupation it seemed as if Japan would never again be able to play a major role on the world stage (Linhart 1996:404). More than half a century later circumstances have changed dramatically: not only has Japan recovered from its wartime devastation it has also become a major economic power and risen to the status of key international player. Has Japan in that sense attained its goal and acquired an honored place in international society as is stated in the Preamble to its Constitution? There are several means by which to assess Japan's place on an international stage. With regard to the above question however the United Nations Security Council lends itself to being a foremost measure. This can be ascribed to three rationales: firstly the Security Council can be argued as epitomising what might indeed be called an honored place in international society. Not only is a permanent Security Council seat highly elitist it is also a scarce international resource (Hurd cit. in Drifte 2000:95) that enhances a country's prestige and confers it immense status. Secondly the Security Council is endowed with the primary responsibility for the maintenance of international peace and sec